Hye guys,
After having read some negative comments, I invested some hours investigating (1) Shiseido/Replicel and (2) Kyocera/RIKEN tandems as well as (3) L'Oreal 3-D solution.
I tend to think that our situation (namely, suffering from the nuts syndrom; having our head shifting from a hairy crown to damn male balls) is going to be solved. Norwood 1 is coming.
1) Well-suited investors & developers:
The fact that giants are currently financing these studies (Shiseido, Kyocera & L'Oreal) is an amazing indicator as usually shitty studies (more risky, less potential positive output) are mainly financed by public funds (it is a fact). On the other hand, Hairloss has not benefited from a "momentum" such as some tech companies did before having their R&D pipeline financed by private companies. This is a secound positive indicator: hairloss technologies in itself are not benefiting from a speculation factor. So only scientific evidences & success potential are priced in their investment offer. Not a trend premium; a good point for us.
2) A healthy competition:
Three market segments are being covered : Norwood-fucked up (namely, 4-7) and Norwood-shitty (3) and even Norwood-ok (1-2) for all 3 solutions and are potential competitors (even if we can predict L'Oreal as being a well suited actor for people being savagely hit by the sickness at the moment and would'nt invest much money in (1) & (2), or people who just want to modify a stabilized hairline, still a huge market ) . As a result, all these companies are just shitting in their pant to be the first standard of care in the industry and replace the Big 3.
Note: It seems that there are more synergies between (1) Shiseido/Replicel and (2) Kyocera/RIKEN tandems which even have labs in the same street. Some colusion may be on the line. Nice thing for us.
3) The first cellular products developed for one purpose: ending Baldness. A completly different situation than with Rogaine & Finasteride:
Rogaine & Fina had other purpose than curing the Head-Balls-Syndrome (aka bald male pattern) and in the end, they created a market which was dominated by snake-oil crap, hair transplants & shitty wigs. In a way, they oppened the door to Giants like L'Oreal to make the big move: if a pseudo solution like the Big 3 could raise billions in few decades, the right solution would make them rich. The only thing was to wait to the right moment and current R&D development will permit to propose the first process purposely funded to cure baldness. This is a key breakthrough: it's the first time in history of the mankind that an optimal process is being developed for the only purpose of curing (and not having a half solution) the Head-Nuts-Syndrome aka andro alopecia
4) Let be brief: proof of concepts are all done for these 3 solutions. Preclinical done. Phase I Phase II on the move; this is good news. Lot of risk of failure is behind us.
5) Highly ranked specialists working to develop R&D pipeline
Having a Lee Buckle as CEO at RepliCel is a good thing and the company is covered by analyst Douglas Loe who is a good lad, José Cotovio from L'Oreal is quite bullish (he's bald btw) which means a lot , and seing all the names of the Japanese experts, you know our hopes are in good hands, not as in the snake-oil-products period (10 years ago).
All these people would never put their reputation at stake in a shity project; business is like that.
So, on a nutshell: our hopes are backed by relevant success factors this time (INCREDIBLE financial support, great management, experts with strong reputation, succesful proof of concepts & Phase I, and great approaches being either cellular or biologic) . Which is a first time in history of baldness.